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Model projections · Fan picks

Race predictions.

Explore the projected finishing order and pick your winner.

Las Vegas Grand Prix ·

Grand Prix projections

Projected race finishing order

Each Pn is the projected Grand Prix finishing rank at that stage.

Ordering: Pre-Weekend · Published

Full-field projected Grand Prix finish comparison for Las Vegas Grand Prix. Rows follow the Pre-Weekend forecast.
DriverPost-QualifyingPost-PracticePre-Weekend
01Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Not yet runNot yet runP1
02Charles Leclerc
Not yet runNot yet runP2
03Lewis Hamilton
Not yet runNot yet runP3
04George Russell
Not yet runNot yet runP4
05Max Verstappen
Not yet runNot yet runP5
06Lando Norris
Not yet runNot yet runP6
07Isack Hadjar
Not yet runNot yet runP7
08Oscar Piastri
Not yet runNot yet runP8
09Liam Lawson
Not yet runNot yet runP9
10Arvid Lindblad
Not yet runNot yet runP10
11Pierre Gasly
Not yet runNot yet runP11
12Nico Hülkenberg
Not yet runNot yet runP12
13Franco Colapinto
Not yet runNot yet runP13
14Gabriel Bortoleto
Not yet runNot yet runP14
15Oliver Bearman
Not yet runNot yet runP15
16Esteban Ocon
Not yet runNot yet runP16
17Carlos Sainz
Not yet runNot yet runP17
18Fernando Alonso
Not yet runNot yet runP18
19Alexander Albon
Not yet runNot yet runP19
20Lance Stroll
Not yet runNot yet runP20
21Sergio Pérez
Not yet runNot yet runP21
22Valtteri Bottas
Not yet runNot yet runP22

Model forecast · Pre Weekend

Expected finish & probabilities

All 22 drivers. Expected finish is an average; projected rank is its full-field order. Win and podium chances are estimates.

Issued notice & limitations

Published before first practice using the sourced provisional event field. Event substitutions remain possible; changed fields replace the ballot window. The learned model is selected by the recorded evaluation.

  • Historical prior before the first practice; no target-weekend session outcome is used.
Pre Weekend projected finishing order for Las Vegas Grand Prix
RankDriverExpected finishWinPodium10–90% range
01Andrea Kimi AntonelliMercedes3.7219.2%53.3%1–7
02Charles LeclercFerrari4.3814.8%43.4%1–8
03Lewis HamiltonFerrari4.6113.5%39.1%1–8
04George RussellMercedes4.6513.5%39.5%1–8
05Max VerstappenRed Bull4.6913.4%39.3%1–9
06Lando NorrisMcLaren6.885.6%18.7%2–11
07Isack HadjarRed Bull7.085.6%18.2%2–12
08Oscar PiastriMcLaren7.954.2%13.4%3–12
09Liam LawsonRB F1 Team10.471.9%6.6%5–15
10Arvid LindbladRB F1 Team11.481.4%5.0%6–17
11Pierre GaslyAlpine F1 Team11.951.4%4.4%6–17
12Nico HülkenbergAudi12.591.0%4.1%7–18
13Franco ColapintoAlpine F1 Team14.010.8%2.4%8–19
14Gabriel BortoletoAudi14.260.8%3.0%8–20
15Oliver BearmanHaas F1 Team14.550.5%1.8%9–20
16Esteban OconHaas F1 Team14.720.7%2.1%9–20
17Carlos SainzWilliams14.900.6%1.9%9–20
18Fernando AlonsoAston Martin16.190.4%1.5%10–21
19Alexander AlbonWilliams17.110.2%0.9%11–21
20Lance StrollAston Martin18.240.2%0.8%13–22
21Sergio PérezCadillac F1 Team18.760.1%0.6%14–22
22Valtteri BottasCadillac F1 Team19.820.1%0.3%15–22

Input cutoff · Published

Forecast record & methodology ↗

Position ranges span the model’s 10th to 90th percentile. Read the methodology ↗

Forecast history

Forecast milestones