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Mexico City Grand Prix · Nov 1, 2026, 08:00 PM UTC

Grand Prix projections

Each Pn is the projected Grand Prix finishing rank at that stage.

Ordering: Post-Qualifying · Published Nov 1, 2026, 10:26 PM UTC

Provisional grid · Penalties and pit-lane starts are not confirmed.

Comparable long-run practice coverage is incomplete; session order supplies the fallback. Fuel loads remain unknown.

Full-field projected Grand Prix finish comparison for Mexico City Grand Prix. Rows follow the Post-Qualifying forecast.
Driver	Post-QualifyingProvisional grid	Post-PracticeThrough FP3	Pre-WeekendOriginal field
01Lewis Hamilton	P1	P6	P4
02Charles Leclerc	P2	P1	P2
03George Russell	P3	P4	P5
04Max Verstappen	P4	P3	P3
05Andrea Kimi Antonelli	P5	P2	P1
06Lando Norris	P6	P5	P6
07Isack Hadjar	P7	P8	P8
08Liam Lawson	P8	P9	P9
09Arvid Lindblad	P9	P10	P10
10Pierre Gasly	P10	P11	P11
11Oscar Piastri	P11	P7	P7
12Nico Hülkenberg	P12	P12	P12
13Franco Colapinto	P13	P13	P13
14Oliver Bearman	P14	P15	P15
15Gabriel Bortoleto	P15	P17	P14
16Carlos Sainz	P16	P16	P17
17Alexander Albon	P17	P19	P18
18Ryo Hirakawa	P18	P14	Not in field
19Fernando Alonso	P19	P18	P19
20Lance Stroll	P20	P20	P20
21Sergio Pérez	P21	P21	P21
22Valtteri Bottas	P22	P22	P22

Model forecast · Post Qualifying

All 22 drivers. Expected finish is an average; projected rank is its full-field order. Win and podium chances are estimates.

Provisional grid · Penalties and pit-lane starts are not confirmed.

Post Qualifying projected finishing order for Mexico City Grand Prix
Rank	Driver	Expected finish	Win	Podium	10–90% range
01	Lewis HamiltonFerrari	3.45	19.8%	56.6%	1–6
02	Charles LeclercFerrari	3.62	19.1%	53.1%	1–7
03	George RussellMercedes	3.65	19.0%	53.0%	1–7
04	Max VerstappenRed Bull	4.53	12.1%	37.3%	1–8
05	Andrea Kimi AntonelliMercedes	4.83	10.3%	34.2%	1–8
06	Lando NorrisMcLaren	5.93	7.3%	22.2%	2–10
07	Isack HadjarRed Bull	7.63	3.8%	11.8%	3–12
08	Liam LawsonRB F1 Team	9.20	1.9%	6.9%	4–13
09	Arvid LindbladRB F1 Team	9.97	1.5%	5.3%	5–14
10	Pierre GaslyAlpine F1 Team	10.50	1.0%	4.5%	6–15
11	Oscar PiastriMcLaren	10.97	1.0%	4.2%	6–15
12	Nico HülkenbergAudi	11.96	0.8%	2.8%	7–16
13	Franco ColapintoAlpine F1 Team	12.34	0.8%	3.1%	7–17
14	Oliver BearmanHaas F1 Team	14.25	0.4%	1.0%	9–18
15	Gabriel BortoletoAudi	14.53	0.3%	1.1%	10–19
16	Carlos SainzWilliams	15.45	0.3%	0.7%	10–19
17	Alexander AlbonWilliams	16.64	0.2%	0.6%	12–20
18	Ryo HirakawaHaas F1 Team	16.88	0.2%	0.6%	12–20
19	Fernando AlonsoAston Martin	17.05	0.1%	0.5%	12–21
20	Lance StrollAston Martin	18.81	0.1%	0.3%	15–22
21	Sergio PérezCadillac F1 Team	19.94	0.0%	0.1%	17–22
22	Valtteri BottasCadillac F1 Team	20.87	0.0%	0.0%	19–22

Input cutoff Oct 31, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC · Published Nov 1, 2026, 10:26 PM UTC

Position ranges span the model’s 10th to 90th percentile. Read the methodology ↗

Forecast history